New SES Polling
Our most recent national survey of Canadians completed by SES Research Tuesday Night (May 9) has the Conservatives with a comfortable lead over the Liberals (Conservative 38%, Liberals 28%) on the national ballot. NDP support is at 19% followed by the Bloc Quebecois at 9% and the Green Party at 6%. The Conservatives have picked up support in Quebec (+11 points) and are now in a statistical tie with the BQ. Currently, Ontario is also a statistical tie between the Conservatives and the Liberals.
“Our last national poll was conducted at the time of the Emerson-Fortier cabinet announcements – at that time the Conservatives and Liberals were statistically tied. The Conservatives now have pulled ahead in the post budget period. There seems to be minimal political blow-back on the Emerson-Fortier appointments,” said Nik Nanos, President of SES Research. “The Harper-led Conservatives have also realised noticeable 90-day gains in Quebec at the expense of all the other parties. Harper’s focus on Quebec seems to be moving the Conservative numbers.”
Polling between May 4th and May 9th, 2006 (Random Telephone Survey of Canadians, 18 years of age and older). Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The change in brackets is from the last SES National Survey completed February 9th, 2006.
Decided Canadian Voters (N=930, MoE ± 3.2%, 19 times out of 20)
Conservatives 38% (+5)
Liberals 28% (-6)
NDP 19% (+1)
Bloc Quebecois 9% (0)
Green 6% (-1)
Undecided 8% (+5)
The detailed tables with the regional sub-tabs and methodology are posted on our website at: http://www.sesresearch.com